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Round 14
 
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Post #1: 09/19/2013 6:23 PM 
Erinn and Sierra came to an agreement for the Chest/Key. The chat is posted in another thread here. Basically, Sierra has agreed to give Erinn the reward with the proposal that Erinn vows to NEVER write Sierra's name and do whatever she can to keep her in the game. Erinn admits she will hold up to this agreement, but if Charlie wins immunity there really is nothing Erinn can really do to save Sierra minus actually giving her the necklace. Erinn will throw her vote away though, likely on Becky. So this is still a mutually beneficial agreement.



BTW Charlie did 60 something posts all within a minute? ok so this Tab trick is really that effective, I will need next season to remember that and make it so they can't have the thread made ahead of time. Now I know why people keep asking me over and over if its allowed and I keep thinking why would you want to and why would it matter to me anyway? But now its starting to make sense!
 
   
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Post #2: 09/20/2013 9:00 PM 
the hotkeys dont work here, but clearly this will have to be addressed starting next season to keep the playing field even.


Charlie plans on playing the idol on Sierra and blindsiding someone. He doesn't know the next challenge will be Poker, which has an element of players working together and against other players, meaning Charlie will be a lot likely to win it. I hate to say it but for Charlie's game, it best he saved the idol, the numbers will never be there and as soon as he is vulnerable he will be voted out. His best hope now is an immunity run. For purposes of making the game more dramatic, I hope Sierra has the idol played on her and someone gets blindsided. Now POSSIBLY with Sierra and Becky alive and a nullifier, he can actually have the numbers at F7...at least force a tie, so saving Sierra might actually work. The tiebreaker would decide then of course, and even if he wins it, at the F6 they are dead locked at a tie once again.
 
   
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Post #3: 09/21/2013 12:32 AM 
They are too smart. Charlie best save the idol though he has no way to know they are splitting the votes
 
   
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Post #4: 09/21/2013 12:40 AM 
Them again with the nullifier and if Becky grows a brain they force a tie, only to have Becky go home in the tiebreaker challenge. However if the vote is split, the nullifier plus Becky is quite possibly enough votes to be majority. It isn't over yet. It's no time to play safe, Charlie must use the idol on Sierra and play the nullifier to ensure his best shot at taking out someone from the other side. At Final 7 Sierra Becky and Charlie would need someone to flip and make a move. Shane and David here's looking at you! There is still a chance but I agree with you, looks like Erinn Kim Katie F3 as they planned it!
 
   
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Post #5: 09/25/2013 5:21 PM 
Sierra and Charlie are over now. At the Final 5 I expect David Shane and Becky to firm a F3 and take out Kim and Katie. It's obvious. If Katie and Kim see this coming, they may actually need Charlie's vote at the F6. It's a long shot yes, but it would be Charlie's best play.

If Charlie is 6th as expected, I believe Katie or Kim are 5th. The F4 I would expect whoever is left of Katie or Kim to win it, forcing Becky to go out 4th.


The F3 will likely be David, Shane and Katie/Kim, and I actually am also expecting Katie/Kim to win the FIC. Shane also has a lot of experience with your F3 challenges too, so we could see a Shane David F2, and a very bitter jury!
 
   
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Post #6: 09/25/2013 5:24 PM 
Official predictions:


6th: Charlie
5th: Kim
4th: Becky
3rd: David ( Katie wins FIC)


Final 2: Katie and Shane


Katie wins hands down
 
   
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Post #7: 09/25/2013 10:09 PM 
Amanda Kimmel @ 25/9/2013 21:29
My predictions:

7th Sierra
6th Charlie
5th Katie
4th Kim
3rd Becky
2nd Shane
1st David

Shane only gets one jury vote.


I don't see them keeping Katie past the final five for the sole reason of her being in the best position to win after David. She started out as a major drama center and yet, managed to make it this far despite having half the cast be her enemy. That's saying a lot about her game.

Why would they boot Kim in 5th over Katie? Katie plays both of her idols, is vulnerable, and thus is easy prey.

She's 5th if she doesn't win immunity. Trust me.


Although, as of right now, I see Becky working with Katie and Kim. But Shane has a key argument in that Becky can beat him...




Cause Katie will be immune, I am taking immunities into account here. With Charlie out she is gonna be whiting them, Kim no longer has the time to
 
   
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Post #8: 09/27/2013 1:25 AM 
Exactly, its a game of pairs atm

Kim Katie

David Shane

Charlie Becky


Becky is the one in the power position at the F5, if David and Shane dont wanna use her, Katie and Kim will. Katie "woke up" when she say these plate smash results, she was next in line after Becky
 
   
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Post #9: 09/27/2013 1:57 AM 
Yes I assume we talking F5 and Charlie is a lost cause. He is just too big of a threat to not get rid of right now
 
   
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