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Herm
Definitely not a Quran Burner
| Reputation: 212 | Group: | Godfather | Posts: | 29,715 | Joined: | Feb 20, 2014 |
| Post #1: 13th Jan 2015 11:40 AM | |
Lol at all the roles. | |
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Herm
Definitely not a Quran Burner
| Reputation: 212 | Group: | Godfather | Posts: | 29,715 | Joined: | Feb 20, 2014 |
| Post #2: 13th Jan 2015 11:57 AM | |
Curtis doesn't want to be anyone's Hero.
So does Town Hero basically mean you sacrifice yourself for someone else? | |
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Herm
Definitely not a Quran Burner
| Reputation: 212 | Group: | Godfather | Posts: | 29,715 | Joined: | Feb 20, 2014 |
| Post #3: 13th Jan 2015 12:05 PM | |
Anyway, so I assume we're gonna look at people who discarded powerful Town roles the most today? So I see Nofo said that Curtis's discarded role was a killing role or something? | |
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Herm
Definitely not a Quran Burner
| Reputation: 212 | Group: | Godfather | Posts: | 29,715 | Joined: | Feb 20, 2014 |
| Post #4: 13th Jan 2015 12:56 PM | |
I like how you discarded Conspiracy Theorist. | |
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Herm
Definitely not a Quran Burner
| Reputation: 212 | Group: | Godfather | Posts: | 29,715 | Joined: | Feb 20, 2014 |
| Post #5: 13th Jan 2015 2:12 PM | |
I don't think there's any Lovers in this game lol. | |
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Herm
Definitely not a Quran Burner
| Reputation: 212 | Group: | Godfather | Posts: | 29,715 | Joined: | Feb 20, 2014 |
| Post #6: 13th Jan 2015 2:20 PM | |
It said in my Town Lover role (that I discarded) that if no one else is Lover but me, then I'd become Vanilla. I think this could be the case with other roles. I assume if Greenday would've kept his Lover Cop role then the lover part would've become insignificant as well I suppose. | |
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Herm
Definitely not a Quran Burner
| Reputation: 212 | Group: | Godfather | Posts: | 29,715 | Joined: | Feb 20, 2014 |
| Post #7: 13th Jan 2015 2:22 PM | |
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Tbh I don't think seeing which roles were discarded will be much help at all since there are so many potentials which never even got picked for the PMs. We can eliminate a few roles from the game but there's bound to be a ton of crazy shit going on all the same. |
I think the discarded roles is something that we'll only look into Day 1, once we've had our first night there's most likely gonna be more solid evidence to go by. | |
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Herm
Definitely not a Quran Burner
| Reputation: 212 | Group: | Godfather | Posts: | 29,715 | Joined: | Feb 20, 2014 |
| Post #8: 13th Jan 2015 2:35 PM | |
There are a total of 13 Mafia roles left, 9 if you disregard the Mafia Goons.
So it seems like the Mafia faction's at 9 or less, which makes it seem like things could be relatively balanced.
That being said, there's also Werewolves out there with a total of 14 roles left, 11 if you disregard the Werewolf vanillas.
Counting the Aliens, Serial Killers and Cult this is likely to become a crazier game with as many factions as Sppoky Castle 2. | |
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Herm
Definitely not a Quran Burner
| Reputation: 212 | Group: | Godfather | Posts: | 29,715 | Joined: | Feb 20, 2014 |
| Post #9: 13th Jan 2015 2:50 PM | |
I suspect that these pyramid quotes have something to do with a Pharaoh role. | |
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Herm
Definitely not a Quran Burner
| Reputation: 212 | Group: | Godfather | Posts: | 29,715 | Joined: | Feb 20, 2014 |
| Post #10: 13th Jan 2015 2:56 PM | |
Why thank you. | |
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Herm
Definitely not a Quran Burner
| Reputation: 212 | Group: | Godfather | Posts: | 29,715 | Joined: | Feb 20, 2014 |
| Post #11: 13th Jan 2015 3:19 PM | |
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I'm not exactly sure how to approach this setup... Day One has more to talk about. I would think we should probably keep eyes on those who would give up powerful town roles with kill abilities like Curtis... Hero is a great role. And also who the fuck gives up Kingmaker? |
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Herm
Definitely not a Quran Burner
| Reputation: 212 | Group: | Godfather | Posts: | 29,715 | Joined: | Feb 20, 2014 |
| Post #12: 13th Jan 2015 3:57 PM | |
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Anyone know what a Gladiator is yet? I used to watch the show when I was a teenager and it seems like it would be fun, but not sure what it is in Mafia sense lol |
Asterix and Obelix?
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Still trying to find a decent way to track all this information.
Unless I figuring it wrong, everyone had essentially a 16% chance of landing two Anti-Town roles and a 36% chance of landing two Pro-Town roles. That leaves 48% chance for everyone to land one of each.
So that means it pretty unlikely that someone landed two Anti-town roles. |
I'm not sure how you managed to run that calculation, but if it's accurate good job. | |
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Herm
Definitely not a Quran Burner
| Reputation: 212 | Group: | Godfather | Posts: | 29,715 | Joined: | Feb 20, 2014 |
| Post #13: 13th Jan 2015 4:04 PM | |
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Ah screw it, ##lynch ahoda |
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Herm
Definitely not a Quran Burner
| Reputation: 212 | Group: | Godfather | Posts: | 29,715 | Joined: | Feb 20, 2014 |
| Post #14: 13th Jan 2015 4:35 PM | |
Hm, what I took away from schrauben's calculations is that half the people who discarded town roles did so in favor of better town roles while the other half chose scum roles. Same goes for people who discarded scum roles.
Since this was randomized there's always the possibility that this is not the case at all, but I do think there's a strong possibility it's not that far from the truth. | |
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Herm
Definitely not a Quran Burner
| Reputation: 212 | Group: | Godfather | Posts: | 29,715 | Joined: | Feb 20, 2014 |
| Post #15: 13th Jan 2015 5:02 PM | |
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I don't see how you come to that conclusion. In reading about the game set-up it says you should reshuffle if you don't get a set-up with only town roles so I'm sure that's happened before. I think trying to guess by anything other than actions/behavior isn't going to be helpful. |
Hm, I'm not sure what you mean exactly. I didn't know there was a specific game set-up we were following, I just based my assumption from schrauben's calculations. It's possible that re-shuffling was done to get a balanced mix of cards. Not sure if schrauben's calculations still hold in that regard, because I suck in mathematics and I'm no good with that stuff. He said 48% though so that made me assume what he meant by the 50/50 sort of stuff?
Although I agree that we should look into other aspects of the game more, like night deaths, role results, behavior etc.
Although looking into behavior usually seems to be misleading as hell lol. | |
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