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vladykins
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Post #1: 26th Aug 2016 6:38 AM 

Looking at the chris train could give some information if we look at past trains, but fucking up his ult claim didn't help either.

I know of one person who got attacked last night, but it wasn't as bad as it could have been. :)
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Post #2: 26th Aug 2016 6:38 AM 

I'm still interested in hearing on the rose - brian thingy.
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Post #3: 26th Aug 2016 6:39 AM 
im317 @ 25/8/2016 20:58
i was attacked yet again, thankfully i was also healed. im still a bit shocked over how Chris could manage to fuck up this much. first he doesn't say anything about running into the mine, which would have confirmed Seb's claim, if not his alignment. then he gets his role ass backwards. that has to be up there with the worst i have ever seen anyone mess up in a single game.


Attacked for same number of points?

And yes, chris is HOF for sure this game
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Post #4: 26th Aug 2016 6:45 AM 

Helios Garabandia @ 25/8/2016 21:27
-dr @ 25/8/2016 22:22
Debating... Should I say how much I've been attacked for total each night? Might help down the road. I feel like I've been mostly attacked by scum so they might already have the info. I dunno.

THOUGHTS?

I personally feel that this information only makes you more of a target. It helps let the scum know how close you are to death...AS WELL AS figure out your role by comparing the damage dealt to all of the starting HPs.


I agree with this. You said you took a significant amount of damage the first time, so everyone knows you are likely a tank player. We can't confirm that mafia is who hit you every time, because I suspect we have a lot of friendly fire going on this game, which means mafia doesn't necessarily know how much you've been hit and thus your role. Better to keep that mystery.
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Post #5: 26th Aug 2016 6:55 AM 
-dr @ 25/8/2016 22:13
Anyway I want to hear thoughts from Dadd, Vladdy, Merc, Wikey, and Odd. Suspect lists and the like. Those are the people I have the least solid read on.


I gave mine yesterday but I'll be updating them for today in a little bit (when I get to the end of the thread).

I do think they we likely have a lot of active townies, a couple active scum, and the rest of the scum are lurking, leaving us to snipe at each other and do their job for them. Of course, it doesn't help when chris screws up his own role.
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Post #6: 26th Aug 2016 7:04 AM 
-dr @ 25/8/2016 22:13

The other side of this is that it's clear that I somehow survived a heavy attack that would have done in most players in a single night. I've been pretty consistently on town lists so far, aside from Wikey's, so friendly fire seems fairly unlikely. If I have very hit by mostly scum, they already have this information, so I'm not keeping anything from them. I also don't think I'm going to be less of a target if I don't say.


We did have Angi, but then we'd know how much her attack was for and I'm guessing your amount was more than that based on your statement.

Though I would not discount friendly fire incidents (though hopefully not for the huge amount), you may be right that your first attack at least was scum.
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Post #7: 26th Aug 2016 7:05 AM 

OK, going to sit back, have my morning coffee, and think.
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Post #8: 26th Aug 2016 9:17 AM 

My reads thus far- ordering based not on read but based on player order:

Town People, barring significant info, I won’t be voting:

1. Curtis- Curtis is a clever player. Folks are usually loathe to vote him and I think he plays this up to his advantage when he is scum. Him being absent earlier in the game made it harder to get a reading on him, but I do feel like he was scum hunting more recently. I also think Vern and Ahoda not killing him off last night when they likely could have been able means they felt the same (though I could be wrong, since Vern still has him listed as scum but didn’t say anything about attacking him).


7. Oddilus- I believe he is a newbie, but he hasn’t been playing this up. IIRC, Boc said somewhere this was a RL buddy of his he got to play, but either this isn’t his first go around or Boc prepped him well, because he isn’t asking all the “newbie” stuff. His voting pattern doesn’t strike me as unusual and Lamps turn confirms Helios’ earlier analysis that vote thief does not equal double voter. I’d still like to see more activity from him

8. Helios- I’ve not played with Helios before, so I have nothing to judge him off of, but based on what I’ve heard he’s a very experienced player (Vern even said something about him inventing Mafia, but Vern talks a lot :P). I feel he’s spent some time analyzing the game and this shows up in his posts. OTOH, he seems to have a fixation on im317 I think is unusual, but I have been judging this as either something from a past game or Helios’ reading im317 from prior playing together (since Helios says they have played together in the past). Which of these two isn’t clear, but Helios thinks im317 is scum.

14. Dadd- This is a harder read, since Dadd was out for a few game days. But based on his actions, I think Dadd is town. I have a lot of experience with Dadd and so my judgment on him is more a feeling based on how I know his play rather than on any hard evidence. It’s funny but I think his early off-train votes on me show him as town more than anything. :P

15. dr- I feel rose has been disclosing information to help. I also feel like she is thinking and scum hunting. While it could all be an elaborate set up, I think it is all genuine- getting a similar feeling from her to last game when she was miller re: being genuine. 

17. Ole Vern- I often feel Vern is scummy, since he sometimes rushes to judgment and focuses on people instead of scum hunting. I do feel he has been a bit more tempered this game and has been trying to scum hunt.


Leaning Scummy People I’m more likely to vote for today:

4. Wikey- I know Wikey is a very clever player. He’s been very erratic this game- the end of day actions yesterday, the vote on Herm, etc. all point to someone not very focused on the game. His activity has been a bit erratic as well. I take this more as someone trying to *look* unfocused rather than actual neglect of the game. Combined with the drake feud, this looks engineered in my eyes.

13. Drake- He is the second “newbie” this game (Oddilus being the other one) but unlike Odd he seems to be playing the newbie game a lot more- questions, obvious mistakes, etc. He is also focused on Wikey, which, as noted above, seems very engineered to look like they are against each other- I think if one flips, they are both scum.

22. im317- I could be reading Helios totally wrong, but I think he spotted something early in IM’s play that struck him as suspicious. The “attacked each night” could be engineered, so he could very well be a scum tank.


The Great Unknowns People I could go either way on mostly:

5. Christian- I’m having a hard time reading him, though his activity has been good. Some of his posts have been a little scummy and there have been some questions on him, but I really don’t get a scum feeling from him, so I lean more town on him than not. Without some evidence, I’d be unlikely to vote him; he almost made my town list.

10. Itsbrianyay- Activity has been low, though I know he is going through some significant RL shit right now. This last is making me give him more of a pass on the inactivity, though I shouldn’t, since brian and I usually end up going after each other in mafia for some reason or other (see Harvey vs Chod in the ATTWS VI graveyard, vlady vs brian in Whedonverse mafia, etc.). rose’s beef with him doesn’t seem to concern her enough to have targeted him for a vote today. He could be lurking scum, but I’m still giving him the benefit of the doubt right now.

12. Thisisbad- He is a very clever player. His activity has been decent and comparable to what I am used to from him. I don’t have a strong vibe from him either way right now. I would likely lean town on him at this point.

16. Timmah- Another very clever player. Activity hasn’t been strong, but I have always had a hard time reading him. When he is town, he can be a strong asset, but when he is scum, he can be tough to defeat. I could go either way on him at this point.

20. Mercator- Activity has been pretty low. I know travel has been involved. I’ve been giving him a pass because I know his activity was low for Kyoto Song too, so I’ve just been assuming he’s been unable to play rather than lurking scum. If we were earlier in the game and relying on lynching inactives because we didn’t have any better reads, he’d be my prime target.
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vladykins
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Post #9: 26th Aug 2016 9:18 AM 

So, barring additional info, I'm voting Wikey, Drake, or im317 today. I'm still deciding which. Likely drake.
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Post #10: 26th Aug 2016 10:12 AM 
Wikey @ 26/8/2016 10:04
vladykins @ 26/8/2016 10:17

I know Wikey is a very clever player. He’s been very erratic this game- the end of day actions yesterday, the vote on Herm, etc. all point to someone not very focused on the game. His activity has been a bit erratic as well. I take this more as someone trying to *look* unfocused rather than actual neglect of the game. Combined with the drake feud, this looks engineered in my eyes.

Where did this myth come from?


A Jamaican told me.
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vladykins
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Post #11: 26th Aug 2016 12:15 PM 
Wikey @ 26/8/2016 10:26
You can't trust anything that Jamaican says.

I gotta say, I don't see how Drake flipping scum would make me scum. I called him out on his BS immediately, at a time when he was attracting no attention. More importantly, nobody was interesting in pursuing him except me until today.

It would make little sense to attract attention to a teammate who was under no threat. Plus, it would be terribly mean to throw a new player under the bus if they were your team mate.

I don't see it. If no more solid leads come up, I think Drake would be the best choice today.

Also, @Curtis @Rose

Yall both are striking me as very non committal and seem to be waiting for an easy townie to pile on.


Considering people were asking on drake yesterday as well as today, this all strikes me as a bit overdramatic- like you are lining up your prior distancing now.
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Post #12: 26th Aug 2016 12:19 PM 
Wikey @ 26/8/2016 10:31
One more thing...the day kill attempt may not have been from scum, though the fact that it came combined with a cancelled vote suggests it was a coordinated attack.

The fact that Lamps flipped a role which interferes with lynch votes makes me more wary of trusting Odd. I wasn't aware that somebody else got their vote cancelled. That is interesting, and it sounds highly likely that there is a scum version of the same role.

It is worth keeping in mind that Odd almost certainly has other abilities in addition to his double vote, which appears to be passive. And furthermore, it is also likely that his additional power is related to vote manipulation. hmmmm


I need to go look back at at this daykill attempt and the supposed double vote stealing, but do we have anything outside of your word that both happened?

Let me go look through your posts from yesterday.
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Post #13: 26th Aug 2016 12:22 PM 

OK, I see the vote on drake and no unvote, but your vote is crossed off.

I just checked TIB's and it is the same: a chris vote with no unvote but still crossed off.
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vladykins
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Post #14: 26th Aug 2016 12:24 PM 

So, the question is whether mafia has a vote cancelling ability like Lamps did and whether they would use it on one of their own to gain town cred?
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vladykins
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Post #15: 26th Aug 2016 12:24 PM 
Drake @ 26/8/2016 11:49

Wikey @ 26/8/2016 11:30
Is Drake Vernon on another account?


just when you think you've heard it all. I'm not Vernon. I only wish I could be half as amazing as him.


OMG you are really earning that lynch vote. :rofl:
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