Curtis @ 3/12/2018 14:30

inb4 parrot

Sebclops @ 3/12/2018 14:28

I think you're married to the idea that all the remaining scum are in Z, Herm, Ahoda and I. And if that's the case then yes lynching Ahoda makes sense.

I am single and free to mingle with the idea that Brian or Spider are in there somewhere I just don't think so.

Sebclops @ 3/12/2018 14:32

Both Herm and Z can't be Mafia because one of them is SK If you keep operating under the assumption that I am SK then your starting point itself is inaccurate

Why can’t Brian be SK

Bwhahaha. Buffy workingnin her HOL case next to me. I love it. Please guys vote me so scum can win. :)

Town Parrot is going to be a thing in the next mafia game, I can already see it.

How do the numbers look if we lynch Zersch today and he flips mafia

Curtis @ 3/12/2018 11:34

Sebclops @ 3/12/2018 14:32 Both Herm and Z can't be Mafia because one of them is SK If you keep operating under the assumption that I am SK then your starting point itself is inaccurate Why can’t Brian be SK

Let me put it this way, I am nearly 100% convinced that Z is SK.

I don't believe that Mafia RB Christian blocked "Mafia Jack" Z.

I believe that was a clear sign from Mafia to Z that they want to work with him. And so they collectively decided to hone in on me since I have been on the cusp of being lynched for a while now.

##Unlynch

##lynch Nav

Curtis @ 3/12/2018 11:35

How do the numbers look if we lynch Zersch today and he flips mafia

Wouldn't it still be 1 Mafia 1 SK going in to the night?

I guess it depends on if we think Mafia started at 7 or 8

Sebclops @ 3/12/2018 14:39

Curtis @ 3/12/2018 11:35 How do the numbers look if we lynch Zersch today and he flips mafia Wouldn't it still be 1 Mafia 1 SK going in to the night? I guess it depends on if we think Mafia started at 7 or 8

I mean going forward. Past the first night. Best and worst case scenarios from there

I just can’t type out the scenario at work rn

Curtis @ 3/12/2018 14:35

How do the numbers look if we lynch Zersch today and he flips mafia

We lynch Zersch

Worst Case:
Herm/Ahoda are both mafia - they have 3 votes tomorrow
Nav/SK has 1 vote
Curtis/Brian/Spider have 3 votes and can either get Nav to vote Herm or Ahoda with them or Nav can vote with mafia and town loses.

Best Case:
Herm is mafia - has 1 vote
Nav/SK has 1 vote
Curtis/Brian/Spider/whoever is not killed - has 3 votes

Basically if we lynch Zersch and Ahoda is still alive tomorrow, he's probably scum but also if we mislynch and Ahoda is town, I think we win.

Worst case depends on Nav and who he wants to screw over most - unless both sides agree to lynch him and mafia doesn't get a successful kill in that night.

if you mislynch and lynch me tomorrow town will lose

If you don't get SK today town is fucked since you already said you lynch me tomorrow. Good going town mvp buffy.

Potential scenarios

#1:
Remaining mafia - Herm, Ahoda
SK - Z

We lynch Z. Mafia is down to 2 people and 1 kill only. Town wins. GG ez

#2:
Remaining mafia - Herm, Z
SK - bri

We lynch Z. Down to 1 Mafia 1 SK. We lynch Herm next and bri after that. GG ez

#3:
Remaining mafia - Z, Ahoda
SK - Herm

We lynch Z. Down to 1 Mafia 1 SK. Town + Spiderwoman still has a 4-3 majority tomorrow even with Ahoda's DV. GG ez

#4:
Remaining mafia - Z, Ahoda, Herm
SK - bri

This is really the only scenario where it makes sense to lynch Ahoda over Z.

Did I miss any

how about you guys lynch me now instead?