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Mittens
The Godfather
| Reputation: 69 | Group: | Overlord | Posts: | 11,449 | Joined: | Sep 23, 2015 |
| Post #331: 6th Dec 2016 7:13 PM | |
A quick recap would be great. Anything important I've missed since 3:30? | |
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Herm
Definitely not a Quran Burner
| Reputation: 212 | Group: | Godfather | Posts: | 29,715 | Joined: | Feb 20, 2014 |
| Post #332: 6th Dec 2016 7:17 PM | |
You're tied with im317.
Brian wants to duel again because he's a gambler. | |
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DS.
SF WordSmith
| Reputation: -157 | Group: | Overlord | Posts: | 11,917 | Joined: | Jun 7, 2016 |
| Post #333: 6th Dec 2016 7:19 PM | |
Mittens, can you clarify what your actual role title is? | SFWordsmith.com
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Mittens
The Godfather
| Reputation: 69 | Group: | Overlord | Posts: | 11,449 | Joined: | Sep 23, 2015 |
| Post #334: 6th Dec 2016 7:20 PM | |
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Mittens, can you clarify what your actual role title is? |
Town Samurai | |
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itsbrianyay
Good morning - evening - afternoon
| Reputation: 114 | Group: | Moderator | Posts: | 19,313 | Joined: | Oct 3, 2013 |
| Post #335: 6th Dec 2016 7:22 PM | |
mine is just gambler fyi
no town
but i am town | |
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Mercator
The Last Snowcrab
| Reputation: 133 | Group: | Overlord | Posts: | 11,515 | Joined: | Jun 26, 2012 |
| Post #336: 6th Dec 2016 7:22 PM | |
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Mittens, primate, im3
im conflicted. This post will just be me spewing my thoughts
If we lynch mittens, we have a 33.3% chance of hitting scum due to the carolers, and we can confirm/deny if there are recruiting factions in this game. That seems to be the lynch that gains us the most information, however, Mittens role does involve a kill or some kind.
If we lynch primate, we have a 33.3% chance of hitting scum, and some believe that we would have a 50% of hitting scum out of the BP counter claims. this seems to be the lynch that is, probability wise, the best chance of us hitting scum.
if we lynch im317, we have a 33.3% chance of hitting scum, and if we are wrong, we lose a town protective role that directs kills elsewhere. Another role where kills occur, which i dont like.
Primate is the only one that didnt claim he could cause someones death. Timmah told us (assuming it was Timmah) that Lamps did visit Farlig, so Farlig being PGO or some sort of defensive killing role, town or otherwise, would clear Primate. I see Farlig as the type of person who would lie about his role as PGO to hide his potential defensive kill ability.
Contrarily, I know its meta, but Primate was a bulletproof role on the GLB game that is going on right now, so what are the odds that he is BP in two separate games on two separate sites at the same exact time?
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On the last part, you're thinking about it the wrong way.
It's like you roll a dice and get a 6, what are the odds of rolling a 6 the next time? 1/6, whatever happens before doesn't affect the chance. | |
http://i.imgur.com/1upHc7K.png |
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DS.
SF WordSmith
| Reputation: -157 | Group: | Overlord | Posts: | 11,917 | Joined: | Jun 7, 2016 |
| Post #337: 6th Dec 2016 7:24 PM | |
idk man, i suck at math.
Im leaning toward mittens because samurai doesnt fit the flavor | SFWordsmith.com
Join The Portal for discord mafia and shit talking |
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DS.
SF WordSmith
| Reputation: -157 | Group: | Overlord | Posts: | 11,917 | Joined: | Jun 7, 2016 |
| Post #338: 6th Dec 2016 7:25 PM | |
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mine is just gambler fyi
no town
but i am town |
it doesnt have to say it because your win condition is generic town, no? | SFWordsmith.com
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itsbrianyay
Good morning - evening - afternoon
| Reputation: 114 | Group: | Moderator | Posts: | 19,313 | Joined: | Oct 3, 2013 |
| Post #339: 6th Dec 2016 7:33 PM | |
yessir | |
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DS.
SF WordSmith
| Reputation: -157 | Group: | Overlord | Posts: | 11,917 | Joined: | Jun 7, 2016 |
| Post #340: 6th Dec 2016 7:33 PM | |
seems like a slip by mittens | SFWordsmith.com
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Mercator
The Last Snowcrab
| Reputation: 133 | Group: | Overlord | Posts: | 11,515 | Joined: | Jun 26, 2012 |
| Post #341: 6th Dec 2016 7:35 PM | |
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seems like a slip by mittens |
Nice catch man
##Unlynch
##Lynch: Mittens | |
http://i.imgur.com/1upHc7K.png |
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Mercator
The Last Snowcrab
| Reputation: 133 | Group: | Overlord | Posts: | 11,515 | Joined: | Jun 26, 2012 |
| Post #342: 6th Dec 2016 7:37 PM | |
Mafia roles are Martian X, while town are just X, Mittens (: | |
http://i.imgur.com/1upHc7K.png |
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DS.
SF WordSmith
| Reputation: -157 | Group: | Overlord | Posts: | 11,917 | Joined: | Jun 7, 2016 |
| Post #343: 6th Dec 2016 7:42 PM | |
##duel brian | SFWordsmith.com
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itsbrianyay
Good morning - evening - afternoon
| Reputation: 114 | Group: | Moderator | Posts: | 19,313 | Joined: | Oct 3, 2013 |
| Post #344: 6th Dec 2016 7:42 PM | |
thanks DS : ) | |
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Mittens
The Godfather
| Reputation: 69 | Group: | Overlord | Posts: | 11,449 | Joined: | Sep 23, 2015 |
| Post #345: 6th Dec 2016 7:46 PM | |
Well mine says town in it so there's that | |
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