Herm @ 26/3/2021 11:16

Do you guys think I'm Mafia or Poisoner?

Mafia Roleblocker, which you'd know, if you weren't employing Penner's strategy from last game.

If only.

I have noticed I've rolled town quite a lot recently actually.

Ok well I think Herm sounds kind of genuine here. It's possible he's messing with us, but for a second consider the scenario where he IS town.

Then Timmah is Poisoner, IM is mafia.

We let both of them survive the day. Both perform a kill. That's bad news.

I think IM is a safer bet here perhaps?

I'll be impressed if scum's among Maddie, Lamps or TIB tbh.

Day 4 "Passover Eve Eve" Vote Count

Herm (3/4)- Spin, im317, Timmah
im317 (2/4)- Herm, Lamps
Timmah (0/4)- Herm

Not Voted: Maddie, TIB

Day ends at 8pm ET

I've given everyone's who's town plenty of material to work with.

Well if it's IM and Timmah, they're probably working together to get you lynched you now. It's up to Spin/Maddie/TIB.

Lamps @ 26/3/2021 12:10

Well if it's IM and Timmah, they're probably working together to get you lynched you now. It's up to Spin/Maddie/TIB.

I've seen nothing to warrant changing my vote based on my earlier reasoning.

I'm more inclined to vote im. Honestly

Ok the scenario in which we lynch a townie.

Now (assuming!):

5 town
1 poisoner
1 mafia

We lynch town, then going into the night it's

4 town
1 poisoner
1 mafia

1 townie killed, 1 poisoned, 5 players left:

3 town (1 poisoned)
1 poisoner
1 mafia

The mafia is lynched (Timmah is not mafia!), a townie dies. Going into the night it's:

2 town
1 poisoner

Poisoner poisons a town, but 2 town lynch 1 poisoner.

So I guess town may be fine in case of a mislynch today, IF scum is between Herm/IM/Timmah and IF you believe Timmah is not mafia RB.

Timmah isn't the mafia RB, because Herm is.

^^ that would be by the skin of our teeth rly and if nothing goes wrong and if you don't lynch the poisoner before the mafia, after the mislynch on a townie today.

Spin @ 26/3/2021 18:19

Timmah isn't the mafia RB, because Herm is.

And if he isn't?

Lamps @ 26/3/2021 12:20

Spin @ 26/3/2021 18:19 Timmah isn't the mafia RB, because Herm is. And if he isn't?

I'd be shocked.

It all lines up to be Herm is the mafia RB.

1. Poison doctor is unlikely to be in the game, if the poisoner is a 3rd party/unaligned role (which is looks like it is).
2. Herm made no mention about anything until after Cody claimed being poisoned. This tells me either Stargate was the real poison doctor, or was probably vanilla or something they couldn't claim.
3. There was a role block each night until last night. 5 mafia makes sense from a balance perspective, and 4 are already dead. If the roleblocker can't do both actions, then there is your missing roleblock. I also don't see Rodney or Brian as good bets to be roleblocked last night.
4. Voting records, I mean, come on. It's right there.

I think this is a pretty damning case, and I've seen nothing other than speculation on any of the other possible candidates. If we vote out anyone else, it'd be a much riskier shot-in-the-dark, imo.