Herm @ 30/7/2019 18:37

Holy shit, I screwed that up lol. I accidentaly left off the second part of that post and started on another post lol.

Oh lol?

TIB what do you think?

Speculation about setup is usually pointless.

However consider Mittens role.

Lynching him basically gets a net of +2 to scum, because town gets -1 and scum gets +1. If that were to happen late in the game it could easily end the game. That’s really a huge swing.

So I think it’s very possible only 2 scum left.

Since we lynched Mittens D1, Mafia + Lynchers either jumped from 33,3 to 41,6% of the total players, or from 41,6 to 50% if the total players.

Good points.

What if two town had been killed N1 instead? That would put town in a very bad spot.

Day 2 would in that scenario be:

2 Lynchers
Potentially 4 Mafia
Potentially 4 Town

I could see one more 3P role too tbh. But I agree speculating on set up is a bit pointless. Especially when Nav is the host. And especially when this is just a mini haha

Havo @ 30/7/2019 18:41

Speculation about setup is usually pointless. However consider Mittens role. Lynching him basically gets a net of +2 to scum, because town gets -1 and scum gets +1. If that were to happen late in the game it could easily end the game. That’s really a huge swing. So I think it’s very possible only 2 scum left.

Thanks. Yeah, I usually agree setup speculation is pointless but if there are only 2 scum left I'll at least feel better lol.

Day Dos Lynch Votes:

Ahoda (3/5) - JJ, Josh, Herm, Cody
JJ (2/5) - DS, Ahoda

Unlynched: JJ
Havent voted: brian, TIB, Havo

With 9 alive it takes 5 to hammer. Deadline is 8pm EST (~70 mins)

Oh I thought Deadline was 7 for some reason.

I’ll be back later.

Off to fight with the hot water heater.

While i do agree that the game setup speculation prob doesn't help, i can def buy into 2 scum vs 3 at this point. I don't hate the Ahoda lynch. He and Ds being after JJ is a little..odd at this point.

I'm still trying to process the Herm/Havo thing for me, and Brian kinda pings my radar a little.

I don't really have any original thoughts at this stage. I think if i buy into 2 scum (agreed the Mittens role could have been powerful) this this lynch isn't as dire as i once though.

Buffy @ 30/7/2019 14:33

Herm @ 30/7/2019 18:32 Maybe there's only two scum left? 33,3% of the total player pool would be 4, which would be two 3P and two scum. Mittens would make for an extra member. That would be good for us. I'm definitely reconsidering Havo which means if Ahoda/DS are not scum the pool just got scarier lol.

its buffy how are yall not seeing this obvious scumffy

itsbrianyay @ 30/7/2019 13:53

Why do you say that Hyvo

lol'd (better late than never)

Havo was questioning Buffy yesterday and now she's miraculously scum reading him?

DS @ 30/7/2019 19:29

Havo was questioning Buffy yesterday and now she's miraculously scum reading him?

I'm not scum reading him. pay attention

Can you guys actually read why I feel Buffy is scum and judge it on its merits as opposed to just discounting me because I'm me?

fuck we need an alias game soon please this is growing old

DS @ 29/7/2019 22:56

Yup, Buffy pinging the fuck out of me. Read this post and then read her posts today https://www.ndimforums.com/fe/thread.asp?threadid=8799&pagenum=6&pp=18#566434