tfw you spend hours reading back through the game and then question all your conclusions 5 minutes after finishing it.

Henry_42 @ 29/10/2018 11:59

greatest effort ever from a GF trying to look helpful townish ;D

You got me Henry!

That essay is the scummiest thing I've done this game tbh

The funny part is, I have MORE notes than that.

Perhaps more useful ones too. I went back through Vic and Havo's posts, I thought there was some interesting shit there at the time. Gonna check that again.

Why do you think there’s a cult Henry?

Zach talking of mass claiming and hinting info is throwing my read on him off too. Interesting

I mean, I guess you can keep me as a possibility for scum wikey but I had a cursed item I gave to a confirmed townie who gave it to another confirmed townie who used it to kill Mafia with

I don’t understand how my role would make sense as Mafia, my team and I would just pass it to each other until we could use it to kill a townie

Plus it’s a cursed item!!!!!!!

What horror movie skanks use those

Yes I defended Havo...up until his claim. Which is why I'm advocating for a mass claim. Because without an idea of people's roles it's all just vibes and I've been off the money (except for Vic) for a lot of this game

This lynch for today is going to be based on vibes if nothing changes

Vic

“I believe JJ to be town and have been leaning scum on Nav. I agree him coming out right away sharing the PM he got could be scum trying to blend in.

JJ, did your PM read the exact way Nav said his did as well?” – Vic, Day 4

“Merc who are your scum reads” – Vic, Day 4

“The amount of bad things that have happened to Kat so far make me think she's town” – Vic, Day 5

“With Sock and Darkus both targeting Spin, I wouldn't be shocked if Mafia subtly tried getting them lynched instead, especially Sock since he was claiming he had a killing role and would be using it on Spin. Mafia would most likely want him lynched at that point to spare Spin from being killed.” – Vic, Day 5
“I've never seen someone be able to be silenced but also able to vote. Could be scum trying to get town credit” – Vic, Day 5

“##assign Havo the Local” – Vic, Day 5

“I have a bad feeling that Darkus is actually town and no one is taking him seriously. I'd lynch/shoot one of these today

Mittens
Merc
Boc
Kenny
Nav” – Vic, Day 5

“Actually, the more I think about it

##lynch Mittens” – Vic, Day 5

“I received nothing from my role yesterday

I agree with most of Mike's list, except I'd move Vernon, Kat, Shadow and Shawn to town. I'm starting to convince myself that Rose is third party as well.

Just like Herm, I told y'all not to lynch Darkus. Mittens would've been a better choice I feel” – Vic, Day 6

Vic’s whole game was to wait for town to build a train on a townie, and then defend said townie and lynch someone else. So with every town flip he would look good.

So keeping that in mind, we could perhaps infer from this quote that Kat, Shadow and Shawn are town. And obviously we already know Vernon is (I forgot yesterday because I was being shit). Him pushing for Mittens is another matter. But I suspect his tactic of doing the unexpected didn’t extend to trying to build a lynch train on a teammate. So I’m leaning town on Mittens too actually.
Here is my scum list that he was citing for reference:

TOWN
Ari - Killed PORL
Brian - Claimed Curser
Buffy - I feel like she claimed something but I can't find it reading back

Null
Ahoda
Jackie - Passed the doll to Ari
Kat
Shadow - Posting a fair bit but I can't get a read on him
Shawn
Tib
Timmah

Potential 3rd Party

Rose - Too many town killing roles if she is on our side. 3rd party makes a lot of sense to me

SCUM
Havo - Generally suspicious, killed Kenny (you bastard!)
Henry - Playing cautiously. Not his style when town
im317 - Bad vibes. Did he hint at Survivor or was he just trolling?
Merc - Meh, had a scum read on him much of the game, but he says he just lacks enthusiasm.
Mittens - Sitting back and watching town burn
Nav - Still can't shake the feeling he was overacting during the initial days. Has gone quiet since Herm's lynch.
Vern - Similar to Henry, playing it much more cool than usual. I think this could be scum vern
Vic - Vibes
Zach – Vibes

Conveniently, Vic’s advise still left a lot of scum suspects on my list.

“I'm down for a Mittens or Havo lynch

Rose, I do still think you could be third party thinking about it more. I'd put the likelihood at like 70% you're not but I don't really know anymore

I say we lynch one of Havo or Mittens and have Rose kill the other tonight” – Vic, Day 6

“Saying that lynching Mittens is dumb because he's not here is...dumb!

I really think that's where we need to look today so I'm keeping my vote there” – Vic, Day 6

This was odd from Vic. After playing such a careful game, staying away from town trains etc, he seemed completely oblivious to the Havo claim. I’m wondering if he was worried about Nav calling him out for soapboxing, and so he was changing tac here.

“If you don't know who to lynch like you say he could be scum then what does it matter if he's here or not? It's Day 6 not Day 1, we've had plenty of time to form opinions that we don't need him to be around to defend himself.

I don't necessarily believe the claim but I also don't think shooting Kenny is enough to lynch Havo. He'd be my choice after Mittens.” – Vic, Day 6

itsbrianyay @ 29/10/2018 12:05

I mean, I guess you can keep me as a possibility for scum wikey but I had a cursed item I gave to a confirmed townie who gave it to another confirmed townie who used it to kill Mafia with I don’t understand how my role would make sense as Mafia, my team and I would just pass it to each other until we could use it to kill a townie

Yeah, I'm probably being overly cautious

Sorry for all these walls of text but I've collected all these quotes and don't know what to do with them.

Immediate conclusion from Vic's posts: I'd be amazed if Mittens was scum

Thoughts on my Vernon theory guys?

Working from my previous list:

im317 (claimed 3P)
Merc
TIB
Darkus
Nav

Updates to this -
im317 (claimed 3P)
Merc (I'm moving him to my town list)
TIB (still seems fishy, but others seem to have caught a claim in there somewhere.
He's in the town list because of it)
Darkus
Nav (He's still near/at the top)


Additions: (strictly on vibes)
Zach
Timmah