I'm not prone to thinking I should use my idol when it isn't necessary.

But.

If I don't win immunity

1) Use idol on myself and vote with Fred/Pomfrey/Ron to idol out Angelina

2) at F8, Fred uses his heir prize to petrify someone and we vote 4-3

3) We have a majority until someone wants to turn on it.

Also I'm staying up until 230 and refreshing the board a lot because I told draco ron and angelina that I'm looking for the idol rn and someone might check if I'm online (im on anonymous so they can't check most recent posts to see if I'm doing the spamming steps)

Mirabella Plunkett @ 3/3/2018 23:30

Also I'm staying up until 230 and refreshing the board a lot because I told draco ron and angelina that I'm looking for the idol rn and someone might check if I'm online (im on anonymous so they can't check most recent posts to see if I'm doing the spamming steps)

Angelina is literally on the board at 230 am on anonymous checking to see if I'm doing an attempt at this slytherin idol. I'll give her credit for being intense about it.

If I ever get to F5, the Instagram account prize was a vote switcher useable though f5/only at the f5 tribal council.

*llama noises*

Saving this link:

https://www.jigsawplanet.com/?rc=play&pid=100b9ace07c1

I tried the old two computer strategy on that challenge but the second one basically exploded with all the open tabs and it I barely was able to post the first window in time.

Really wanted to go to 31 here and I definitely am fast enough to do it, but I'll have to settle for 21 here with technology holding me back.

I'm pretty sure at least Amos will be capable of doing more than this, but he screwed up on the last challenge so he could again here. This is a very finicky challenge that lots of people could fail on and lots of others could fail to use tabs and be able to get to 20.

Still a slim chance I could win. Am I allowed to DDOS ndim so that the others get a lot of 404 errors?

Must be lonely hosting this game

Mirabella Plunkett @ 11/2/2018 3:40

Honestly, if I had to make an early list of contenders it would go like this: 1. Madam Pomfrey (probably also has an idol) 2. Cormac McLaggen (trying to + him to an early demise rn) 3. Rita Skeeter 4. Draco Malfoy 5. Fred Weasley 6. Lily Potter 7. Newt Scamander 8. Gilderoy Lockhart 9. Amos Diggory 10. Rubeus Hagrid 11. Madame Olympe Maxime 12. Angelina Johnson 13. Ron Weasley 14. Minerva McGonagal 15. Zardulu 16. Severus Snape 17. Dudley Dursley 18. Albus Dumbledore

This wasn't all that far off.

1) Pomfrey didn't have that idol, but she's definitely been a top contender from the start and will continue to be one.
2) Cormac obviously has gone less active since then but it sounds like he could have out of game stuff. Still got a chance but he's probably lost the respect of a lot of jurors even if he's a likely FTC player.
3) Rita was kind of screwed over on the other tribe by lockhart shenanigans. I can't really tell how much of that was her fault.
4, 5, 6) Draco, Fred and Lily all look like they have great chances of making it to FTC and they all will have a case to make although Lily isn't likely to get my vote.
7) If Newt hadn't died for my idol sins he would be looking great as a floater with a resume as well.
8) Lockhart - probably never had this high of a chance because he was so determined to be visible, but he still had a lot of influence on the game.
9) Amos feels about right here, I'm not sure how good his resume is but there's enough people on his side that will be on jury that he could win despite not talking to my side. Not a great resume.
10, 11) Hagrid went inactive and dropped, maxime predictably flamed out
12) Angelina was sketchy from the start but with this tribe she's been allowed to get away with more than I thought she would. Still doubt she can make FTC but she would definitely have a resume and whoever brought her there would deserve to lose.
13) Ron is underrated here too, he's played surprisingly well and despite the nerves he's not been nearly as naive as I expected. This was too low.
14, 16, 17, 18) It was too easy to predict these would flop
15) Zardulu - who knows?


Hard to do an update here, a lot of the cast seems very close together and those who would do better at FTC are less likely to get there.

My rough attempt:

1) Fred
2) Draco
3) Pomfrey (best shot to win a jury vote)
4) Ron
5) Angelina
6) Lily
7) Mirabella (path to FTC is long and filled with obstacles)
8) Amos
9) Cormac

Okay I'm proud of this one

Mirabella Plunkett @ 3/3/2018 22:07

I'm not prone to thinking I should use my idol when it isn't necessary. But. If I don't win immunity 1) Use idol on myself and vote with Fred/Pomfrey/Ron to idol out Angelina 2) at F8, Fred uses his heir prize to petrify someone and we vote 4-3 3) We have a majority until someone wants to turn on it.

This is all about going as far as I can with Pomfrey. She's got to be considered the biggest jury threat outside of Angelina and I could maybe not be target #1 with her around.

Very quiet, which is an early good sign that people are voting for me but they're also very quiet to Ron fred and Pomfrey so it might be a very bad sign.

If they don't vote for me this round is an enormous mess but if they do and Angelina goes home I really feel good about where I am.

Angelina is now actively going around trying to split the vote 4-4-1 or 5-3-1 or 6-2-1 which is fantastic news!

I'm gonna have to pull out some acting skills and convey just the right amount of uncertainty/paranoia/desperation to keep angelina from suspecting I have support still. F9 is obviously earlier than I would like to have had to use the last idol, so it needs to be a real game changing round, but I think this is the right gamble.

If it works, Ron/Pomfrey/Fred need me next round. We can use the heir prize to be up 4-3 in the vote and eliminate someone on the other side, and it will be in none of their best interests to betray me next round just to end up down 4-3 the round after. Even at F7 there is little incentive for them to shake things up because it would likely lead to a 3-3 divided tribe that could be dangerous.

On the surface, this looks like a good gamble that can bring me to F6 if it works and pair me with ron in an end game where I might not be the biggest threat (though still a threat).

And its a nice bonus that I get along with Fred Pomfrey and Ron the most out of anyone in this game since Hagrid. Maybe social bonds will count for something.

This is basically a plan to fuck over Draco who might actually go along with voting Angelina and stop me from having to use my idol. But our trust in him not leaking or voting against us is very low. And being in a four person majority is so much better than in a 5 person majority.

After not talking to me for a week, Lily decides she needs my jury vote: