Time for an update! Once again click on the spoiler tags to see the history of prior days. I probably will miss the next few days after this but I'll try to keep these semi constant.

Lachesis
Kait & Bryce solidified an alliance over the past few days, which puts them both in good spots. Bryce is definitely the centre here though, and could probably pick between Sarena & Matthew or Abby & Kait if he really wanted to. Abby is pushing a womens alliance which tragically hasn't really caught on, but still might eventuate.

Matthew only really has the Sarena & Bryce alliance, and is beginning to sketch out Abby — however the tribe has a pretty easy unanimous boot in Jack who has been annoying Bryce and still is yet to form a single alliance.


Atropos
Things really simplified here after the Ceejae boot, with Alejandro & Chris both losing her as an ally. Chris is in a tight three person alliance with Naomi & Anders, but his true #1 ally is Alejandro so there's a slight dilemma there. Chris has also expressed apprehension about Anders in the game, along with Anders & Naomi being a potential pair (even though from what I can see, Naomi feels closer to Chris).

Alejandro wants to target Naomi, and is still unaware that his #1 Chris is tight with her.

Jenn is in hot water, as her targeting Ceejae unwittingly gave Naomi, Chris & Anders the numbers to control the tribe unless that alliance cracks.


Clotho
No changes here from what I noticed from confessionals. This tribe runs through Jessaca, plain and simple. Lexi is the only one Jessaca doesn't have a direct connection with and will probably get the boot if they have to go to Tribal Council.

Danny has a surprising amount of connections, but doesn't really have agency within them to pull anything off as Devon is much more loyal to Jessaca, and Lexi is beginning to be sketched out by him. Devon could definitely usurp the power from Jessaca here, but Jessaca has won him over so well that I doubt he'll attempt anything anytime soon.

It's worth noting that Devon & Danny originally wanted Aaron out, but Jessaca seems to have managed to drag him into safety. He owes her big time.

Michael 'Vic' Vicario @ 10/11/2018 1:12

God if Abby gets voted out anytime soon I'll quit production

Cosigned. Abby is easily my favourite person in this cast.

Clotho
As much as I don't want Amberly to go, and from my point of view it's a mistake by Jessaca. Like... who am I to question the Jessfather? She is incredible and honestly should offer out coaching lessons for people wanting to know how to succeed in games like this. She's staggeringly self-aware and has her finger on the pulse, and not a single person on that tribe isn't dying to work with her. I don't know how long she can keep this up for, but I'm feeling fab about my winner pick.

I agree with Sam in that Aaron & Lexi just are really not present on this tribe at all and you could totally cut them out of the episodes and no one would notice. I was actually expecting a little more from an ORG veteran like Aaron and a returning player like Lexi. But so far Aaron is only surviving this because Jessaca is saving him, and Lexi is only surviving this because Danny is saving her.

Danny is my king. That is all.

I'm adoring Devon now too, I looooved hearing in his confessional that he's having a blast playing this game. I was a little hesitant on him pre-season but he's turned me into a believer. And I think Amberly going out this round is GREAT for him and puts him in a spot where he almost rivals Jessaca for holding the most power within this tribe.

Atropos
God Chris is so good. I knew that he would be the straight-man in a tribe kind of full of nutty people, but I didn't expect him to rule the rest of them like this.

Anders, Naomi & Alejandro are all super flawed with their gameplay and are making a few mistakes. I think they're lucky that it's a three-tribe season and they're not going to have to attend tribal council as often.

Jenn is super entertaining and I love her too. I wish she didn't gun for Ceejae and could've went up against the main alliance, but there was really no way for her to realistically be able to make that call so I don't hold it against her.

Lachesis
Ugh, Jack. I was so looking forward to his confessional this week for a little insight to where his head is at in this game but all he spoke about was winning the bloody challenge. He doesn't appear to have any strategy at all? I love you Jack but you have to wake up! </3

Jack, running out of things to talk about after 2 minutes in a confessional is not a good sign, and neither is "I don't know who we would boot in our tribe? I feel like we all get along" ...like that's a red flag that it's you boo!

Abby is the queen of this season and ugh I love her so much. Wanting to make a womens alliance? Aligning with Kait? Wanting to target Matthew? Ugh she has such great opinions and I'm all for all of them. Honestly Bryce targeting her is so darksided.

Speaking of Bryce, equally impressed with his grip on this tribe. He's a faaaaabulous player! I do think he has some horrible opinions (not liking women as much as men on Survivor, not liking Angelina from DvG, targeting Abby) but I'm willing to overlook that for now!

Daniel Kilby @ 11/11/2018 8:09

Lexi mentioned that her #1 is jess, did she not?

Nah, Danny is Lexi's #1. She just made that pretty clear in her newest confessional.

Danny & Lexi are also pretty stuck on trying to boot Aaron if they go to Tribal Council another time and are hoping to pull in Devon. I know Devon isn't thrilled with Aaron so I could see that potentially working. I don't think that Amberly would ever push such an agenda so I still feel like Jessaca is making a mistake here. If they go to Tribal Council again after this, Jessaca likely comes out losing Amberly & Aaron -- the two people in the game who were pretty much only loyal to her, in lieu of people who are working with her, but have many other options too.

Okay I've just watched Jessaca's latest confessional and ugh she's so smart. I'm back to not ever doubting her because she's just addressed exactly what my problem was. She's decided that she'd basically keep group harmony over having one extra person who is explicitly loyal to her, and so I respect that gamble.

Just to add though, the way she has broken down each member of her tribe and identified what they need from her and how to play up to them is fucking masterful.