SARENA
At this point I think Sarena is going to be in hot water on Utren for as long as the tribe exists. She's not in immediate danger as she has been working to establish some type of connections with people outside of Jacob and Andrew, but I think as long as those two boys are in the game she is going to be tied to them. I hope she makes it to the merge though, I would really be interested in seeing where she takes things in that situation. Plus she's too great of a confessional character to lose!

KILBY
I am incredibly shocked that Kilby's game has not blown up in his face yet. I partly attribute this to the Tony vote being pretty straightforward, but he plays with fire constantly. I do think he's started to play slightly less erratic and has solidified a side of people that he seems to be keen on working with. He recently messaged his prod chat his thoughts on whether he should start thinking of taking Jayden out though for some weird reason, which I don't think would be a good move for him in this moment. I can't wait to see how he handles the challenge and whether or not he will complete his idol tonight.

JAYDEN
I really enjoy his gameplay, I think he's been playing a pretty smart game thus far, and he appears to have positioned himself well within his tribe. Kilby is starting to place him on his radar though, and if he's not careful he might find that position shifting. I think once one of Jacob/Gibson/Sarena leaves we might start to see the early signs of fractures in the rest of the group that I think will ultimately lead to either Kilby or Jayden leaving.

JACOB
From the sounds of it (according to Kilby), the plan is to throw the challenge and take Jacob out in a blindside. I never understand the logic of throwing a challenge (tbt to season 2 when everyone on Gwale was trying to throw the last tribal challenge and take out Kim except me). Jacob is three rounds in and at this moment I don't foresee a way out for him, so I think the best logical move would be to keep winning and use him for the benefit of the tribe. I feel bad because I don't think he's got an inkling that he's got as big of a target as he does, all of his confessionals talk about trying to fade in the background but he's Utren's public enemy number one.

JENN
I really enjoy Jenn's confessional commentary on the game. I think ultimately she is the one who has the most power over whether Kilby will thrive or falter on the tribe. If she needs to she can easily leak to everyone that Kilby has the idol string and didn't tell anyone else, or she can keep his secret and stick close to him. Her powerful position on the tribe I think goes largely unnoticed at this point which is ideal for longevity in the game.

JOEY
Joey is doing a good job playing the middle, both sides firmly believe he is on their side. It's going to be
a dangerous one soon though, he's going to be betraying one of those alliances sooner or later (likely Sarena/Jacob/Andrew) and he's probably going to face some of the hardest backlash from it. I'm going to be interested to see how he maneuvers that situation when we get to it.

ANDREW
It was definitely smart of him to leave out the string part of the clue when he gave it to Sarena and Jacob, and this will kind of let him pick their brains with a decreased risk of them beating him to the idol. Too bad Kilby got it super duper quickly so their searching won't lead to reward. I think once Jacob goes, Andrew will likely be the next in line unless Sarena isn't successful in reintegrating with the others. He's going to need to work hard to stay alive.

HARRISON
Harrison is in a very safe position on this tribe. I don't think anyone has plans to take him out any time soon so he's on a smooth path to the merge if things stay as they are. I don't think he'll have to deal with any possible backlash at a Jacob blindside at all, and I think people have the fewest reasons to go after him. It's honestly a very impressive game.

BILLY
of the newbies to ORGs we see this season, Billy has arguably been best at adapting to the gameplay format (although Harrison is right up there with him). He's well integrated into the tribe, he's built the right bonds, and he's got himself a fair bit of power. He's partly on a couple of radars for the longterm game but there's plenty of time for those ideas to change.

KURTIS
Kurtis is definitely leading the tribe after the successful Anders blindside. He's subtly making sure Alex and Dustin are still being viewed as outsiders to the group of 5 that has formed with a little bit of paranoia and distrust. Kurtis is no stranger to winning when it comes to ORGs so I'm unsurprised he's been so successful thus far.

ALEX
Alex I think made a critical mistake by waiting as long as he did to try and guess for the string (which he did in prod chat this morning). Maybe he just didn't think of it until today, but if he waited then he likely cost himself the idol. I'm glad he and Dustin at least have each other right now, and I really think it's important that he does his best to hold onto any relationship he has with Jay.

ADRIANNE
Adrianne has been influential in keeping the distrust in Alex and Dustin well and alive with the idol clue information. I don't fully understand it because I don't think she's seen as a central member of the majority alliance right now and could be a viable boot down the line, and Alex and Dustin are starved for allies, but I think it might just be to avoid being labeled as sneaky so early on or earning a reputation of not being loyal to anyone.

JAY
Yo what's up? It's your boy Jay.... Jay is becoming a really interesting character to this game and I'm very happy about it! He's stepped out from a quiet start and I think he's going to be a key player in the next couple of rounds at least, maybe even farther. He was smart with getting the clues and searching immediately, and he's been rewarded with a chance at completing an idol tonight! Adrianne has seen to it that people don't believe anyone who thinks he has the idol or even idol clues, so right now he's sitting pretty.

MIKE
By an extremely narrow margin, Mike has survived his first ever Endure tribal council in two seasons. Good for him! I think he's found a good footing in this game, but I also don't think I can see him putting himself in a shiny enough light to win this game. That might be part of his allure to the others is that he doesn't seem like a potential threat standing in the way of victory for a lot of people. He should continue doing what he's doing but he's gonna need to start setting the groundwork of being taken seriously as someone people could envision voting for in the end before it's too late in the game.

DUSTIN
He cannot seem to catch a break! He loses Anders, misses the idol clues, and now an attempt at trust building with Adrianne with truthful statements has unwittingly painted a really big target on his back! His saving grace will likely be either Jay finding the idol and saving him or an Utren losing streak. I hope he can turn it around, he's got a gripping underdog story right now and I'm always a fan of a good underdog.

ROB
Rob is very much a central role in the tribe. I don't think he's in the same power position as Kurtis but I think he'd be second highest in the tribal heirarchy as it stands. I don't think people see him as too threatening to worry about which is good for his game right now. I'm curious to see how he plays moving forward.